Models into trading decisions.
Action strategy · five $10 entries
NEW PAPER CANDIDATEA + B disagreement · additional entries
FORWARD PAPER TESTPre-round entry · an extra $25
NEW A/B PAIRRetired original portfolios · preserved balances and history
These two portfolios place no new orders. Existing positions still settle against their official outcomes. The action pair keeps its balances; the new pre-round pair starts with separate $1,000 balances.
Cells + P-cross-D · controlled paper comparison
Strategy learning · paper only
Model learning and input health
Executable Polymarket prices
WaitingRetired portfolios · decisions and executions
500 ms minimum delay · unfilled remainder canceled · tap an event for its input and depth evidence
Retired portfolios · round results
Cash settles only after the official resolved outcome is received. Open rounds show realized P/L so far.
Original policy and shared execution rules
Execution assumptions and audit trail
Orders are immutable after each decision. They execute at least 500 ms later against fresh depth available then, within their original price and cash limits. A delayed execution loop, stale books, or a closed round cancels the attempt. Actual delay and every consumed price level are recorded. A and B are separate counterfactual experiments: their simulated orders do not compete with each other.
Repeated snapshots do not restore already consumed size. Only observed increases replenish a level. The recorder exposes the nearest 25 levels, so deeper liquidity is never assumed. Public depth cannot prove a real fill, queue priority, hidden liquidity, or market impact. Fees use the market schedule as a cash-equivalent estimate; no rebates are credited.
Cash + open cost is accounting equity, not a mark-to-market profit claim. Visible exit value includes only shares sellable into currently observed bids, after estimated fees. Unpriced shares are shown separately.