Value beyond the market
Can B predict what a small position earns after fees, depth and two execution delays?
Connecting to the experiment…
Available cash—
Net realized P/L—
Open cost—
Filled orders—
Current decision
Waiting for evidence.
| Side | Expected 10s route P/L | Estimation allowance | Conservative value | Support |
|---|
Values describe an independent $10 attempt. A missing input stays missing. A negative or unsupported value does not authorize an entry.
Historical premise test
| Information | Held-out routes | Selected routes | Terminal Brier | Route mean squared error |
|---|
Data and execution coverage
Exclusions and input health
Market-only challenger
| Same later observations | Brier ↓ | Log loss ↓ | Resale RMSE ↓ |
|---|
Candidate equity and rounds
| Round | State | Net P/L | Fees | Open cost |
|---|